How To Bet On A Boxing Match

Boxing Betting – Over / Under Rounds As well as predicting the winner of a fight, you can also place a wager on the number of the rounds that the bout will last, predicting under or over the line given by the. Boxing betting with online bookmakers available fight odds. Markets include winner, method of victory and round stoppage for pre-fight and live betting.

Boxing has been an extremely popular sport ever since it peaked from the 1920s to 1950s. Even though its level of popularity has died down a bit over the last few decades, there are still millions of people who love to watch it instead of watching UFC/MMA. Most of the major boxing matches will require you to use Pay-Per-View if you want to watch the match without physically traveling to it and one of the best ways to offset this entertainment cost is to place some wagers on the fights you are watching.

However, before you venture off into the world of boxing wagers you should familiarize yourself with some of the terms and conditions that come along with all of them so that you do not make any big mistakes. We will now take a jab at explaining all of the various types of bets that a boxing bettor can make in sportsbooks around the globe and we invite you to step in the ring with us to learn a thing or two so that you don’t get sucker-punched.

Moneyline Bets in Boxing

Moneyline bets are sometimes called “To-Win” bets because all you have to do is simply pick which fighter is going to win the boxing match. This is one of the simplest ways to bet on a fight and it is also the most popular bet type that people utilize when betting on boxing.

Each side of every boxing match will offer varying moneyline odds for each fighter and these odds will determine how much you get paid if you make the correct choice. When a fighter’s odds are listed as a positive value the fighter is the underdog in the fight. Conversely, when the fighter’s odds are listed as a negative value they are going to be the favorite and the bigger the number is the more of a favorite they are considered to be.

As an example, let’s assume that we woke up this morning in the year 1990 and undefeated Mike Tyson is about to fight against Buster Douglas. The moneyline odds on this fight were set at +4500 for the underdog Buster Douglas, which means that if you bet $100 on him you will receive $4500 back if he wins. Mike Tyson ended up getting knocked out in the 10th round of this fight and Douglas bettors went home with giant piles of money which just goes to show you how fun moneyline bets can be in boxing.

Round Over/Under Bets in Boxing

If you are looking for a bet that does not involve picking the winning fighter then you might want to give round over/under bets a try. These bets simply require you to choose whether or not the fight in question will last more rounds than the over/under line is set at.

If you choose to bet the over and the fight goes longer than the round over/under line that Vegas proposed then you will win your bet. For example, if the over/under round line is set at 4.5 rounds and you bet the over then you need the fight to make it into the 5th round to win your bet.

The more lopsided the match-up is, the less the round line will be since the favorite usually makes quick work of a heavy underdog. For example, if Floyd Mayweather was going to box against Justin Bieber the over/under would probably be set at halfway through the first round. However, if Mayweather was about to fight against Manny Pacquiao the round over/under line would probably be set around 9.5 rounds.

One of the unique parts about these types of bets is that you will sometimes be able to find a ton of different round lines that all have different payout odds. The further away your bet moves from the number of rounds that Vegas thinks the fight will last, the more money you will receive if you are correct since it is less probably that that outcome will occur.

Sometimes you will also have the option of betting on the exact round that a boxing match will end and other times you will be able to wager on whether the fight goes the distance or not. All of these bets pertain to the length of the event and give you a nice breath of fresh air from trying to decide which fighter is going to be victorious.

Parlay Bets in Boxing

Often times whenever there is a big boxing event there will be numerous other fights happening right before it on that same day which are of lesser importance and these fights are collectively known as the undercard. One of the fun ways to go about wagering on these undercards is to make parlay bets where you pick multiple winners from that day’s fights and try to get a big payday.

Parlay bets are notorious for being difficult because there is no room for error but if you happen to get every single selection correct the payouts can be massive. The more fights you choose to include in your parlay bets the higher your payout will be due to the added level of difficulty. The best part about boxing parlays is that you will know if you are the winner that same day which is not the case in some major sports that spread their contests throughout the week.

Double Chance Bets in Boxing

Double chance bets are somewhat similar to parlay bets because they require you to pick multiple selections and get them all correct. However, double chance bets are normally limited to just two legs with one leg being which fighter will win and the other leg being their method of victory.

For instance, if Mayweather really was going to fight Justin Bieber like in the silly aforementioned example then an extremely easy double chance bet to make would be Mayweather to win by TKO/KO. However, the payout odds might not be that great for bets that are extremely obvious like this and you will be lucky to make a 10% profit on your wager.

You will also be able to bet on whether the fight ends in a decision for each fighter which means that there will generally be four total double chance options to choose from for each fight. These four options include Fighter 1 by TKO/KO, Fighter 1 by decision, Fighter 2 by TKO/KO, and Fighter 2 by decision with each option paying out different amounts according to the corresponding moneyline odds.

Prop Bets in Boxing

Prop bets are wagers that ask you extremely specific questions about what will happen during a boxing match and they generally have nothing to do with who will win the match. Will there be a knockdown? Will a fighter lose a tooth? How many punches will a fighter land throughout the fight? Will there be any point deductions? These are just some of the questions that a sportsbook might as you to answer for a particular prop bet and they are a great way to diversify your betting exposure to a fight without hedging your other bets.

Not every sportsbook offers boxing prop bets but the bigger the fight is the better chance you have of coming across a list of prop bets that are available. You might also want to check on the live-betting portion of the sportsbook if they have one since prop bets can sometimes be found there as well.

When you decide to bet on boxing prop bets the wagers are generally capped at a small amount due to the casino’s lack of confidence in the outcomes. These bets are meant to be for fun and if you find yourself taking them too seriously then you are doing it wrong. We recommend mixing in one or two prop bets with your to-win bets so that you have a backdoor chance of winning some money if you picked the winner of the fight incorrectly.

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Celebrity boxing matches have witnessed a sharp increase in interest over the past year with the recent fight between YouTube stars KSI and Logan Paul generating a total of 1.3 million pay-per-view buys worldwide. This made the social media battle the largest non-professional boxing match of all time, which has resulted in an upsurge in Pinnacle’s betting volume. Read on to learn how to bet on celebrity boxing matches and find value in the odds.

How to approach celebrity boxing matches

The behaviour and personalities of boxers has always been a big part of the build-up to a boxing match. In celebrity boxing matches, this is a key feature pre-fight due to the high-pressure of selling the event to their targeted audience, which can heavily influence bettors into analysing the event instead of the fight as a whole.

Whilst basic fight criteria like age, weight, reach, the rules of the fight, and who is training each fighter can help inform your predictions, it can also have bettors engrossed in the event for the simple reason that usually these matchups have no precedent, and the nature of uncertainty can lead to the excitement of betting on the fight.

  • Read: How to analyse boxing styles
Boxing

It is critical to pay attention to the advantages of one fighter rather than the noise coming from the other fighter. What a fighter thinks will happen can be narrowed down to give a more accurate prediction of what will happen.

Bettors should not be drawn into what a fighter thinks of himself or, more importantly, what his multitudes of fans think of him, as this can result in making less accurate predictions. Analyse the information available and make your own conclusions, and do not be drawn in by the hype or comments from people involved in the event.

The best analyses to make a prediction

So how do you predict a winner in a boxing match between two fighters that have never laced up boxing gloves or have a history of engaging in combat sports? We have a good idea about how to bet on boxing, but two novice untested boxers facing off for the first time is more difficult to predict.

Now there is little to zero chance of you discovering something about, for example, the NBA or the NFL that has not already been factored into the betting market. However, when there is no previous data available, with time and effort, there is a possibility to find an edge.

  • Read: How can bettors find value betting on boxing?

In the modern age, a huge amount will be said online about celebrity boxing fights, and there will be plenty of video footage available to analyse the two fighters’ quality, so spend time analysing these and narrow down who has the better-looking qualities based on your own judgement.

If you are a boxing expert with previous betting knowledge on the sport you will be able to make a sound assessment based on this information, for example “who is a naturally bigger man?”, “Do either of the two fighters have any kind of previous one on one combat experience?”, “What style does fighter A look to have and what style does fighter B look to have?”, or “What trainer is the fighter using?” Assign the principles and a degree of self-assurance to your predictions and stick with that.

Making prediction with no previous data

With 10-ounce gloves, longer rounds, and no head guards, these novelty matchups create a competitive agenda that most of the competitors would not have experienced. It can be hard to find accurate details on tale of the tape stats, but we can rationally agree that when both fighters have never boxed before that they will be of a similar level of ability and experience.

'When a celebrity boxing match is set, and both fighters have zero or the exact same level of experience, then the percentage chance is far higher that the fight will be evenly balanced'

If you take two fighters of very similar skill set and experience then size will matter. There is a reason weight classes exist in professional boxing so the fighter that has a weight advantage will likely have a better percentage chance of winning. The amount of punishment a fighter can take is also related to your overall weight. Bigger body mass means the fighter will have more muscle, which means he or she should carry better punch resistance.

A taller fighter will usually mean that they have longer arms. And longer arms will result in having a greater reach, which allows the fighter to punch from range without the fear of being countered against. So between two fighters of equal skill and experience, the bigger man will carry a better percentage chance of winning.

  • Read: How to make betting predictions with no data

When relating this to our predictions, a celebrity boxing match is still a fight, and fighting is often more mental than it is physical. Analysing discipline, mental strength and pre-fight preparations will play a key role in determining if we can gain an edge on a fight.

For example, is one fighter constantly training and in faultless condition? Is the other fighter looking less conditioned in appearance than the other? What is their general mentality like when producing their social media content? A mentally tough fighter is one who can motivate themselves to do what it takes to gain an edge over their opponent, and if bettors can spot this in the celebrity boxing participant’s qualities then they can also gain conceivably gain an edge in their betting predictions.

How To Bet On A Boxing Match

Bookmakers aren’t in the business of guessing predictions they offer a measurement of how likely something is to occur, and this is then represented in the form of odds. So in that respect, if you feel you have a good, solid understanding of both fighters strengths and weaknesses coupled with a broad overview of their mentality towards the fight then - based on what we believe will happen – we can arrive at a good idea of the chances of each fighter winning, represented in the form of odds, which can then be calculated against the bookmakers to see if you have potentially found an edge.

What can bettors learn from the KSI vs. Logan Paul bout?

Placing bets in the face of uncertainty is something that bettors will likely encounter when looking to bet on celebrity boxing matches. But learning the 10 Commandments of good prediction and how to make predictions when little or no data is available is a great way to gain a broader insight into how our idea of a future outcome is often heavily based on the past.

How Do You Bet On A Boxing Match

The first bout between KSI and Logan Paul ended in a majority draw, so straight away we have information to build on existing knowledge. The main differences in the second fight were that the bout took place in the professional ranks, which meant lighter gloves and no head guards, but if both fighters had progressed at a similar rate, then it was quite obvious that the difference in the result would be marginal (which it was).

'Bettors should not be drawn into what a fighter thinks of himself or, more importantly, what his multitudes of fans think of him'

KSI had home advantage last time, and also had added experience of having a fight prior to the first one. (Which Logan Paul didn’t) but many bettors at Pinnacle were conclusively drawn into betting on Logan Paul in the rematch based on physical appearance and hype around social media.

These two fights eventually turned out to be evenly-matched fights between two complete novices. This highlights that when a celebrity boxing match is set, and both fighters have zero or the exact same level of experience, then the percentage chance is far higher that the fight will be more competitive and evenly balanced, as neither fighter will have developed any kind of experience or ring craft to know how to win fights without taking risks.

Where To Bet On Boxing Fights

One of the great and interesting things about betting on boxing is that no one knows the true probability on the outcome of a boxing fight. Bookmakers set odds based on their assumptions and use the market to come to a conclusion of what the odds should be. A profitable boxing bettor will try to exploit those probabilities implied by odds they believe to be incorrect much like we can also do when betting on celebrity boxing matches.

Can You Bet On Yourself To Win In Boxing

Now that you know the basics of how to bet on celebrity boxing, you can bet with Pinnacle’s great celebrity boxing odds.

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